11.8.05

Predicted Top 13 Picks

My top 12
This list is preliminary and will be revised without notification - but here is a quick guess at how things will shape up in our first round;
Bob releases Scott Niedermayer - D Van and declares that he will take a new FP (I have no inside knowledge he will do so, right now it's an educated guess based on some conversations and his acquisition of Richards-C Tbay RFA from me).

1. Dogs: Lemieux-C Pit, the Dogs need scoring help everywhere, and former FP Lemieux looks poised to take a run at the Art Ross despite being in his 40's.

2. Knights Templar: Bertuzzi-R Van, he has the biggest potential impact of any player available other than Lemieux.

3. Great Whites: Lecavalier-C Tbay. The Finheads need forwards. Recchi is safe, solid, reliable, and likely to feast on the Pens powerplay. Palffy may have more upside, but he is way more injury prone. St Louis is a possibility, but Dan prefers players with longer track records. In the end, he picks big Vince, his need at centre trumping the other possibilities.

4. Highlanders: Palffy-R Pit. Doug needs a top end player at all the forward positions except centre, and Palffy gives him a high-end presence on a wing that needs his scoring punch. With Bertuzzi gone, and no comparable quality LW in the mix, he takes Millbury's village idiot over Recchi and St Louis.

5. Bladerunners: Gonchar-D Pit. Corey will have been salivating that he would slip further, but I see no chance Gonchar leaves the top 5 unless Brian blows a gasket and bids on Richards (someone who at this point would definitely not be matched). I do see him forcing Dan's hand by bidding on Havlat so that Dan has to match in rnd 2.

6. Ramapithicines: Niedermayer-D Van. Corey takes the best D-man available, just like every other year for the past 6.

7. Severed Heads: Recchi R-Pit. And then I laugh my most evil laugh.

8. Shadowmen: Martin St Louis-R Tbay (new FP). He's just won a scoring title, and his post-season performance was superb. He's still under 30, and his team will have lots of weapons. He's good.

9. Wolves: Leetch-D Bos. The Wolves don't need forwards, and they've seen two of the best defensemen go off the board already, so they take the next best guy at that position. My list says Leetch (15 pts in 15 games with the Leafs), but he could also elect to take Blake here.

10. Personal Vendetta: Lang-C Det. Solid totals the last two years, he's in his prime, strong team, good wingers, etc., and he fits the PV's needs for a centre behind Foppa.

11. Barbarians: Weight-C St Louis. The Not-Greek's GM needs a centreman more than anything else, and Weight is the best left available. He might try a finesse, but I think he plays it safe and just takes him.

12./13. The Edge: Demitra-C LA and Fedorov-C Ana. Collin solves his weakness at pivot, and positions himself to have a strong group of scoring forwards. Sure, the common thinking is that Collin takes defensemen early, but he'll get two very decent defenders on his next wraparound at the end of 3 start of 4.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Templar's comment to another posting leads me to question the KT projected pick of Bertuzzi. He favours Gagne apparently?

That said, Bert is in no danger of being selected by the GW's on sheer principle. IMHO, the fact that Bert is able to play this year is appalling. When the original suspension was handed down, it was open-ended, lasting at least a year with review before reinstatement. That this year should be considered "served" in the absence of an NHL season is laughable. Sure, he didn't get to play overseas. Sure he lost a half mill in pay. But then again every player in the league lost the year too.

For Bert to have been unable to play in a season that wasn't is hardly doing the time, so to speak. His actions have no place in hockey, and the powers that be whose actions were at the very least complicit in the outcome (if not conducive) should also feel the sting. While I would stop short of the alarmists calling for a lifetime ban on Bert, I would have had a lot more respect for the league at least upholding the suspension for a full and actual season. That Bert will now be held to a "higher standard" serves only to illuminate how misplaced that standard is in the first place.

And what does that foretell for the future, when the new CBA runs out, and another lockout threatened? A headhunting free-for-all as players have less fear of league reprisal before a season which may be cancelled anyway? OK, I exaggerate, but you get the picture.

As for who the GW's WOULD select, it is true there is always a need to beef up the front lines. Historically the GW's have tended to be weakest up the middle dating back to the days since the departure of beloved Adam Oates. And while Pittsburgh is a fertile ground for impending statistical anomalies, an investment there could take many forms, including Recchi (long time GW fave), Palffy, and Gonchar (what, the GWs taking a D-man? Unheard of. Not.) Fortunately, as always, there is still much debate, and a resolution that will not be fully known until the day of reckoning...

Red Five

Cameron said...

I hope that others share your distaste for Mr. Bertuzzi.

The Severed Heads would have exactly 'zero' problem selecting him at pick #7.

As for the new look NHL and what Bert's sentence says about it...I'd say not much at all. Effectively once the season was cancelled with Bertuzzi's situation unresolved, it was only a question of 0-20 games from 2005-06 as his penalty.

Keep in mind, he was never suspended 'for a year', he was suspended 'indefinitely'. The actual punishment he recieved for the transgression isn't one that easily bears comparison. He sat out longer than anyone else ever has, and paid a larger fine (in terms of lost wages) than any other player ever has - so why think that he is somehow getting off light? Because Moore is still injured and not playing?

Let me throw some gas on this debate by suggesting the following;

Doug and I are in a ball-hockey league together. One day, a punk slams Doug head first into the boards, and Doug is hurt pretty bad. Conucssion, etc. Next game against that team, I find the punk and give him a little payback. So at the end of the game I sucker punch him and then ride him to the ground. Others have to pull him off me. Turns out the Punk is hurt. Really bad, worse than Doug.

Now, assuming the Punk's original suspension was 'nada' for his attack on Doug. What length should mine be? Should I go to jail for what I did?

In all honesty, I not only understand Bertuzzi's actions, I sympathize with them. Yes he was wrong. Sure he deserves a suspension and fine. On all of that I agree.

But another full year? What message does that send?

Anonymous said...

Well, not to make a mountain out of a molehill, but:
- 13 games (which is what Bert really missed in any meaningful sense) hardly counts as sitting out longer than anyone else.
- I'm not suggesting another full year, but the 13 games and a season that wasn't doesn't cut it with me
- I do not understand or sympathize with Bert's actions, and it is the exact scenario you describe that youngsters around the country may reenact because the stars do it. Retribution is considered acceptable and understandable - that is not a game, that is classic "eye for an eye" thinking. Of course if the league sat up and corrected some of the flaws that lead to these incidents, that would help.

As for your example, if you want my honest opinion, your vengeance on Doug's behalf is premeditated, unsportsmanlike, and criminal, and yes you should go to jail. If you want to drop the gloves and wail on him to send a message, fine. But don't sucker-punch him trying to make two wrongs equal a right...

Red Five

Cameron said...

I raised the example with Doug for a reason, but it does suffer from one failure - I can't see myself jumping the Punk from behind and sucker punching him in the head.

But pick a fight and beat the crap out of him? Definitely.

And therein lies the razor's edge that Bertuzzi crossed. It's not the premediation that bothers me, I know I would be planning pain for the Punk in my example, so the fact that he thought about doing harm to Moore isn't germane. Of COURSE Bertuzzi was planning to do Moore harm - I'm certain he prayed that God would put Moore in the corner on a dump in where Bertuzzi had a full head of steam. Wouldn't you?

I'll wager 1000Quatloos that he was hoping to trap the little rat in a corner and hammer off a pound of his flesh to feed the revenge gods.

I don't blame him one bit either.

What I blame him for is that hockey has a code for how to mete out vengeance on the ice, it's the fighting major and game misconduct. All Bertuzzi had to do was goad or trap Moore into a fight and then kick his ass and everybody would have been, on the whole, Ok - including the presumably beaten to a pulp Moore.

But no, Bertuzzi had to jump him from behind and cold cock him, and he did that AFTER Moore had already had a fight with lightweight Matt Cooke.

So I remain sympathetic as to his intent, but it is still beyond excuse.